Continuation of portfolio management highlights from Howard Marks’ book, The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor, Chapter 8 “The Most Important Thing Is…Being Attentive to Cycles” When To Buy, When To Sell “Rule number one: most things will prove to be cyclical. Rule number two: some of the greatest opportunities for gain and […]
Bruce Berkowitz of Fairholme Funds manages $7Bn+ of assets (this figure is based on fund prospectus disclosures, may not be inclusive of separately managed accounts) and was once named Morningstar’s Manager of the Decade. As you are probably aware, since 2010, it’s been a trying couple of years for Berkowitz. His fund was down 32% […]
Continuation of our series on portfolio management and the Buffett Partnership Letters, please see our previous articles for more details. AUM, Trackrecord, Sizing “…I believe that we have done somewhat better during the past few years with the capital we have had in the Partnership than we would have done if we had been working with a […]
Continuation of our series on portfolio management and the Buffett Partnership Letters, please see our previous articles for more details. Trackrecord, Compounding, Duration, Special Situations, Time Management “A disadvantage of this business is that it does not possess momentum to any significant degree. If General Motors accounts for 54% of domestic new car registrations in 1965, it […]
Continuation of our series on portfolio management and the Buffett Partnership Letters, please see our previous articles for more details. The 1965 letter is a treasure trove of insightful portfolio management commentary from Warren Buffett. This is the Buffett for purists – the bright, candid young investor, encountering intellectual dilemmas, thinking aloud about creative solutions, and putting […]
Continuation of portfolio management highlights from Howard Marks’ book, The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor, Chapter 6 “The Most Important Thing Is…Recognizing Risk” Marks does a fantastic job illustrating the impact of the (low) risk free rate on portfolio expected risk & return, position selectivity, hurdle rate & opportunity cost. Expected Return, Hurdle […]
We have been reading (and thoroughly enjoying) the humorously insightful letters of Daruma Capital’s Mariko Gordon (who manages ~$2Bn in a small-cap concentrated strategy). In her Feb 2010 letter, Gordon muses upon the source of portfolio returns (and consequently future portfolio expected return). As we have written in the past, future portfolio returns do not […]
Druckenmiller is a legendary investor, and protégé of George Soros, who compounded capital ~30% annualized since 1986 before announcing in 2010 that his Duquesne fund would return all outside investor capital, and morph into a family office. Many of our Readers reside in the House of Value, but I believe that value investors can learn […]
Continuation of our series on portfolio management and the Buffett Partnership Letters, please see our previous articles for more details. Cash “If a 20% or 30% drop in the market value of your equity holding (such as BPL) is going to produce emotional or financial distress, you should simply avoid common stock type investments. In the words […]
Recently, I was lamenting the lack of female representation in investment management. Then in conversation, a friend reminded me of this insightful interview with Lisa Rapuano, who worked with Bill Miller for many years, and currently runs Lane Five Capital Management. The interview touches upon a number of relevant portfolio management topics. Rapuano has obviously […]
The following portfolio management related excerpts are extracted from Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville, an article based on a speech Warren Buffett gave at Columbia Business School on May 17, 1984 Risk, Expected Return. Volatility “Sometimes risk and reward are correlated in a positive fashion. If someone were to say to me, ‘I have here a […]
The following excerpt from Howard Marks’ book, The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor, Chapter 5 “The Most Important Thing Is…Understanding Risk,” is one of the best clarifications on the relationship between risk and return that I have ever read. Risk, Expected Return “…when you’re considering an investment, your decision should be a […]
Ted Lucas of Lattice Strategies produces many worthwhile reads (conveniently, they’re all archived on Lattice’s website). The man is so well-read I wonder when he finds time to sleep. In this article, he references Antti Ilmanen’s new book Expected Returns, producing a wonderfully succinct piece highlighting the dangers of “conventional price history-based risk measures,” such […]
Continuation in a series on portfolio management and the Buffett Partnership Letters, please see our previous articles for more details. Topics covered include: Benchmark, Hurdle Rate, Expected Return, Volatility, & Team Management. Benchmark, Hurdle Rate “At plus 14% versus plus 10% for the Dow, this six months has been a less satisfactory period than […]
This post is a continuation in a series on portfolio management and the Buffett Partnership Letters. Please refer to the initial post in this series for more details. For those interested in Warren Buffett’s portfolio management style, I highly recommend the reading of the second 1961 letter in its entirety, and to check out our […]
This post is a continuation in a series on portfolio management and the Buffett Partnership Letters. Please refer to the initial post in this series for more details. During 1961, Buffett started to write semi-annual letters because his clients told him the annual letter was “a long time between drinks.” The second of the two […]
This post is a continuation in a series on portfolio management and the Buffett Partnership Letters. Please refer to the initial post in this series for more details. During 1961, Buffett started to write semi-annual letters because his clients told him the annual letter was “a long time between drinks.” The summary below is derived […]
James Montier always provides a wonderful blend of value and behavioral principles, as well as humor in his written work. His books (I’m the proud owner of a signed copy of Value Investing) and articles are always worthwhile reads (and available for free on the GMO website once you create an account). Here is a tail risk […]
Many thanks to Adam Bain of CommonWealth Opportunity Capital for tipping PM Jar about this chapter in Steve Drobny’s Invisible Hands. “The Pensioner” interviewed “runs a major portfolio for one of the largest pension funds in the world.” He seems to define risk (for the most part) as volatility. Regardless of whether you agree with […]
In his book The Big Short, Michael Lewis chronicles how Cornwall correctly predicted and benefited from the subprime housing crisis, via a “Fat Tail.” While reading the book, I remember thinking that the approach was different from many other funds that I’ve encountered. Some tidbits that particularly resonated were the following: Fat Tail ≠ Probability of […]