Posts Tagged ‘Fat Tail’

Howard Marks’ Book: Chapter 18

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October 7, 2014

Continuation of portfolio management highlights from Howard Marks’ book, The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor, Chapter 18 “The Most Important Thing Is…Avoiding Pitfalls” Risk, Volatility “…trying to avoid losses is more important than striving or great investment successes. The latter can be achieved some of the time, but the occasional failures […]

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Montier on Exposures & Bubbles

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July 12, 2014

Below are some wonderful bits on bubbles and portfolio construction from James Montier. Excerpts were extracted from a Feb 2014 interview with Montier by Robert Huebscher of Advisor Perspectives – a worthwhile read. Cash, Expected Returns, Exposure “The issue is…everything is expensive right now. How do you build a portfolio that recognizes the fact that cash […]

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Mauboussin on Position Sizing

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May 1, 2013

Below are excerpts from an article written by Michael Mauboussin in 2006 on the importance of position sizing (Size Matters). For fans of the Kelly formula, this is a must-read. Mauboussin highlights a few very important flaws of the Kelly formula when applied to our imperfect, non-normally distributed world of investing. Sizing, Diversification “To suppose […]

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Wisdom from Peter Lynch

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March 10, 2013

Previously, we summarized an interview with Michael F. Price & an interview with David E. Shaw from Peter J. Tanous’ book Investment Gurus. Below are highlight from yet another fantastic interview, this time with Peter Lynch, the legendary investor who ran Fidelity’s Magellan Fund from 1977-1990, compounding at ~30% annually during that period. When To Buy, Volatility, Catalyst […]

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36South: Profiting from the Tails

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January 30, 2013

Many have read about Cornwall Capital (I wrote about them awhile back), a firm that successfully profited from shorting subprime CDS. Those who enjoyed the Cornwall Capital piece are in for a treat. Below are highlights extracted from an Eurekahedge interview with Richard Hollington of 36South, a hedge fund that also specializes in profiting from volatility […]

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Howard Marks’ Book: Chapter 7

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January 11, 2013

Continuation of portfolio management highlights from Howard Marks’ book, The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor, Chapter 7 “The Most Important Thing Is…Recognizing Risk” Risk, Capital Preservation, Compounding “…Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, Bill Miller and Julian Robertson. In general their records are remarkable because of their decades of consistency and absence of disasters, […]

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Howard Marks’ Book: Chapter 5 – Part 4

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November 24, 2012

I’m finally back from vacation. In light of recent market volatility and “risk,” let’s kick off with a continuation of portfolio management highlights from Howard Marks’ book, The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor, Chapter 5 “The Most Important Thing Is…Understanding Risk” Risk, Intrinsic Value “…risk of loss does not necessarily stem […]

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A Page From Cornwall Capital’s Playbook

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March 28, 2012

In his book The Big Short, Michael Lewis chronicles how Cornwall correctly predicted and benefited from the subprime housing crisis, via a “Fat Tail.” While reading the book, I remember thinking that the approach was different from many other funds that I’ve encountered. Some tidbits that particularly resonated were the following: Fat Tail ≠ Probability of […]

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